My favorite 2010 ECM and technology predictions

 I am a big fan of all those year/decade retrospectives and year/decade prediction lists that appear this time of year. (You might have already guessed my list fetish from my 8 things postings and e-books).

Just for fun - and to keep what we do in the content, document, and records space in as bit of perspective - here on the left side of this post is the Google predictive text for "2010 predictions." So I guess we have a bit of a way to go before our industry is top of mind -- hey, there's a big surprise!

Before venturing into my own (modest) predictions in a future post, here are a few I really found intriguing -- by people way smarter than me.  Who have I missed? 

Post a comment with any other good lists...

John Newton is a new member of the AIIM Board and someone who I have always admired for his frank perspectives on our crazy industry.  Here are John Newton's 2010 predictions (click on the link -- here and on the rest of the items posted -- for the full article). 

• The economy's effect on ECM
• ECM in the developing world
• SharePoint in 2010
• The E in ECM
• WCM and ECM
• The Cloud and ECM
• CMIS
• Content Platforms vs. Content Applications
• Open Source Makes Strange Bedfellows
• Social Software and ECM

As both a competitor and a partner, CMS Watch always has interesting things to say.  They even include a video version of their 2010 predictions.   

• Enterprise Content Management and Document Management will go their separate ways
• Faceted search will pervade enterprise applications
• Digital Asset Management vendors will focus on SharePoint integration over geographic expansion
• Mobile will come of age for Document Management and Enterprise Search 
• WCM vendors will give more love to Intranets 
• Enterprises will lead thick client backlash
• Cloud alternatives will become pervasive
• Document Services will become an integrated part of ECM
• Gadgets and Widgets will sweep the Portal world
• Records Managers face renewed resistance
• Internal and external social and collaboration technologies will diverge
• Multi-lingual requirements will rise to the fore

The Big Men on Content blog has issued 6 predictions, and they are quite provocative.  They would deserve a place on the list if for no other reason than the awesome tag-line on their blog -- "Opinions and discussions on content management by two of the biggest guys in the business (measured by weight not by volume)."

• Open Text Will Acquire Another ECM Vendor
• SharePoint Will Force Specialization in the ECM Market
• Major ECM Vendors Will Stop Positioning Themselves as ECM Vendors
• SharePoint Archiving Will Be THE BIG Topic in Q4 ‘10
• Cloud ECM Business Models Will Dampen The Hype
• WCM Will Remain A Boring Topic

This next list is more of a 2009 retrospective and also reaches beyond ECM a bit.  I include it because I am a big fan of the "This Week in Google" podcast and Gina Trapani's Google Wave Guide (both for it's content and as a future model for publishing). I also include it because Google is just so intriguing. As they continue to lead the way in using their advertising-driven engine to upset business model after business model, who's next?

Google's Three Biggest Launches of 2009
--Chromium OS
--Google Wave
--Android 2.0/Droid

Google's Most Updated Apps of 2009
--Search Engine Upgrades
--Gmail
--Chrome web browser

Google's 2009 Product Release Calendar

There's obviously a lot of hype out there related to cloud computing. Appirio offers these 10 predictions about cloud computing (and used a wisdom of the crowds model to generate them):

• Cloud developer community grows faster than open-source
• Cloud standards won't (and shouldn't) happen
• Cloud providers tackle lock-in
• Cloud integration will get an enterprise poster-child
• Enterprise apps get Googled
• Enterprise collaboration is a feature, not a business
• Microsoft lets Azure cannibalize a global account
• Cloud computing consolidation
• Global Systems Integrators will do nothing more than cloud marketing
• The real innovation will be in the business of cloud computing, not the technology.

Here's a set of broader technology predictions from PC World.

And From - Blogging Basics 101 - I really like these - original post by Melanie Nelson

• Twitter Reveals Most Discussed Topics of 2009 by Ben Parr via Mashable. This list provides a break down of what we Twittered this year. From Michael Jackson to Google Wave to Harry Potter, Twitter was the way news broke and was dissected and discussed.
• Twitter’s Top 10 Tech Trends of 2009 by Jolie O’Dell via Read Write Web. Not surprisingly, Google Wave is number one. As techies, you’ll be interested to see what the other nine most talked about topics were. It was interesting to me that conferences made the list. If you’ve had any doubt that your hashtags are important, worry no more.
• Mashable has several lists, but I found The 10 Most Innovative Viral Video Ads of 2009 to be quite entertaining.

Which records, content, and document prediction/retro lists have I missed?  Post a comment and a link.

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Comments

[Doug]

Thanks, great list. #6 and #9 are serious contenders we are most looking forward to!

[danieltellez]

You mi the Word of pie predictions:
http://wordofpie.com/2009/12/31/top-predictions-for-2010/

Also very interesting ;-)

[Bud Porter-Roth]

I don't think we are looking far enough into the future (which is not that far!) and have missed the advent of Google Apps (and others coming) and the ability to write a proposal with a Cloud-based word processor, do the pricing with a Cloud-based spreadsheet, do the presentation with a Cloud-based presentation, store everything in a Cloud and not worry about (right now) document management, records management, et al. Someone is thumbing their nose at ECM and all the "controls" that it imposes.

I'm feeling like "who let the teenagers out?"

[transparent laptop]

Everything in this world is changing as we are. Likewise, the technology must be present to enable it to withstand both the competitors in the market and the demands of customers. For this reason we see small sizes ipods, laptops, and many other advances that technology offers.

[t-shirt personnalisé]

I think we'll see some content managment system especially for phones, and I think google will not make a lot of release. They still have work to do with android. And maybe an Android for desktop ??!!